May 2013
35 posts
1 tag
NHL Playoffs 5/19/13
Picks by Buffalo66 NHL Playoffs: Penguins -1.5 (puck line +245) and OVER 5.5 (+110) Pittsburgh got me off my losing streak Friday so I’m going back for more. The Penguins have been dominant in this series and I don’t believe home ice is going to help Ottawa much. The Sens bringing Jason Spezza back seems like a desperate move that might backfire, messing with the team chemistry. ...
May 19th
1 tag
MLB 5/19/13
Picks by Buffalo66 MLB: Chisox +112 ML I lost yesterday when the O’s blew a 2 run lead in the 9th. Today is an interesting match-up of two pitchers that struggle versus their opponent.  Jake Peavy is 0-3, 6.08 against LA, while Jason Vargas is 0-1, 8.04 against the White Sox.  Throwing out historical records, Peavy has been the much more dominant starter this season.  His WHIP is...
May 19th
1 tag
5/18/13 MLB
Picks by Buffalo66 MLB: Baltimore ML +102 I won last night as the Nats held on in extra innings. Today I’m looking at a home dog.  Roberto Hernandez has pitched terrible against Baltimore this season, going 0-2 with a 5.25 ERA.  The O’s counter with Jair Jurrjens, who is somewhat of a mystery but is getting a spot in the rotation because of injuries. The bats on both sides were...
May 18th
2 tags
Preakness Picks by Buffalo66
By Buffalo66 This Preakness has a small field this year with only nine runners. There’s also a heavy favorite in Derby winner Orb. Orb got the first post position on the rail.  Unfortunately, only once in the last 52 races has the winner come from that spot. I like taking value for an upset on this race.  Assuming the track is good/fast, there might be a challenger to Orb. I’m...
May 18th
1 tag
5/17/13 NHL Playoffs
Picks by Buffalo66 NHL Playoffs: Penguins -0.5 in regulation time (-117). After a glorious sweat last night I lost as the Rangers could never pot a third goal. Tonight it’s all about the Penguins.  Crosby seems to be in game shape and Vokoun has answered the call to be a #1 goalie.  I think Ottawa can steal a game or two in this series but it’s really just how long can they hold...
May 18th
1 tag
5/17/13 MLB
Picks by Buffalo66 MLB: Nationals (-133 ML) I lost last night as Strasburg dealt through eight innings. I’m going right back to the Nats/Padres series.  Gio Gonzalez has a deceptively high ERA, mostly from one bad outing.  He’s coming off two quality starts and Washington has Bryce Harper back in the lineup. San Diego is throwing green rookie starter Burch Smith to the...
May 18th
1 tag
5/16/13 NHL Playoffs
Picks by Buffalo66 NHL Playoffs: NY Rangers OVER 2.5 goals (team total +121). I lost last night when the Wings collapsed in the 3rd period. I’m officially on a losing streak but I feel good about tonight’s pick.  Boston has suddenly become the walking wounded, with 3 of the top 6 D-men out for tonight.  Brad Marchand is also injured but expected to play. I realize the Rangers...
May 17th
1 tag
5/16/13 MLB
Picks by Buffalo66 MLB: S.D. Padres +128 ML I cashed last night on the Sox as David Price struggled at home. Tonight I like a home dog.  Stephen Strasburg is in the longest winless streak of his career.  And tonight he faces a San Diego team that has put up 11 runs in the first two games of the series.  The new “smaller” Petco park has been good to the Padres offense. SD is...
May 17th
1 tag
5/15/13 NHL Playoffs
Picks by Buffalo66 NHL Playoffs: Red Wings +1.5 (puck line -167) I missed the over last night as Jon Quick shut out the Sharks. There’s only one game tonight.  The hot Red Wings face off against the Blackhawks.  Jimmy Howard has been outstanding for Detroit.  This is actually the first playoff game versus a starting goalie for Chicago. Since 3 of the 4 regular season meeting were one...
May 16th
1 tag
5/15/13 MLB
Picks by Buffalo66 MLB: Red Sox ML +113 I cashed last night as the Phillies took care of Scott Kazmir. Tonight I really like the Red Sox/Rays match-up.  Two of the premier pitchers in the AL square off:  Jon Lester and David Price.  While Price is coming off a quality start, he has struggled at home. Lester just pitched a complete game one hitter and has already stifled TB once this...
May 15th
1 tag
5/14/13 MLB
Picks by Buffalo66 MLB: Phillies ML (+109) I lost last night as the Texas bats were quiet. Tonight I’m fading another veteran pitcher.  Scott Kazmir was once a top prospect but loss of velocity once sent him out of the league.  Now he’s back as a finesse starter. He has learned to pitch with junk velocity, but he is doomed to get torched every once in awhile.  Pitching on the...
May 15th
1 tag
5/14/13 NHL Playoffs
Picks by Buffalo66 NHL: Sharks/Kings OVER 5 (+132). I completely whiffed on the Salami under last night. Tonight there will be two well rested team going in LA.  The Sharks dominated the Canucks in four straight, while the Kings took 6 games to beat the Blues. I expect to see continued scoring by the San Jose snipers.  I also expect these teams to play several close games. I’m taking...
May 15th
1 tag
5/13/13 MLB
Picks by Buffalo66 MLB Rangers ML +113 I took yesterday off to savor some playoff hockey. Today I like the Rangers/A’s match-up.  Texas has won 6 of 7 and has scored 31 runs in the last 5 games.  Oakland is putting A.J. Griffin on the mound and he hasn’t been consistent this season.  This game is a coin flip at best for the Athletics, so I’ll take the side with better...
May 13th
1 tag
5/13/13 NHL Playoffs
Picks by Buffalo66 NHL: Grand Salami - UNDER 9.5 (+120) Took a day off yesterday as I didn’t see a strong play. Tonight has two game 7 match-ups.  Both teams have played hard but conservative, trying to avoid an on-ice mistake.  Plus both games are on back-to-back nights. Home teams are usually heavily favored in deciding games, so there’s not much value.  However, I did find a...
May 13th
5/12/13 NO Plays
No plays today. Happy Mother’s Day! I hope you took some of your bankroll and bought your mother flowers or some other token of your appreciation.
May 12th
1 tag
5/11/13 NHL Playoffs
Picks by Buffalo66 NHL: Penguins -1.5 puck line (+182) I missed last night as the Caps never took the lead in regulation. There’s only one game tonight and it should be a good one.  Pittsburgh seems to have found their answer at goalie with Tomas Vokoun.  Plus their skaters all seem to be finally healthy. The Islanders are likely missing two key players in Nielsen and McDonald.  While...
May 11th
1 tag
5/11/13 MLB
Picks by Buffalo66 MLB: OVER 7.5 Yanks/Royals (+115) I cashed on both bets last night, NY and Seattle cruised. Tonight I’m going back to the Yankees/KC matchup.  Andy Pettitte has struggled lately and 4 of his 6 starts have gone over.  James Shields has been better overall, but his career numbers against the Bombers are horrid. The bats are hot, combining for 16 runs last night....
May 11th
1 tag
5/10/13 MLB
Picks by Buffalo66 MLB: NY Yankees (+107) Seattle (-123) I cashed on my over bet in the Rays game. Phil Hughes had a rough start to the season but he has put up four consecutive quality starts, including eight shutout innings last time out.  He’s also 4-1 lifetime versus KC.  Wade Davis has been very average to date and his WHIP is pretty high at 1.85. Hisashi Iwakuma is the best...
May 11th
1 tag
5/10/13 NHL Playoffs
Picks by Buffalo66 NHL Playoffs: Capitals -1.5 (+237 puck line) I cashed easily on my Sens/Hawks parlay. Today I think the most value is in the Capitals.  While Martin Erat is out Washington is superb at home, winning 9 of the last 10.  They are also 9-12 as a puck line favorite, which is phenomenal.  The Rangers are only 1-4 at Washington.  Marc Staal is questionable to play. The home team...
May 10th
1 tag
5/9/13 NHL Playoffs
Picks by Buffalo66 NHL Playoffs: PARLAY: Senators ML and Blackhawks ML (+189) Yesterday I went 1-0-1 as there was a fortunate push in the Kings game. I like the over again in Pittsburgh but the odds makers have finally caught on and stopped giving generous lines. Peter Budaj is starting Montreal tonight as Carey Price is injured.  Budaj had a great regular season as a backup.  But...
May 9th
1 tag
5/9/13 MLB
Picks by Buffalo66 MLB: TOR/TB OVER 7.5 (+117) I took yesterday off as I felt there were too many weather issues. The Jays and Rays have combined for 39 runs in the first three games of their series.  The bats are hot.  They have their respective aces going tonight: R.A. Dickey and David Price. These two Cy Young award winners have been struggling this year.  Although last time I bet...
May 9th
1 tag
5/8/13 NHL Playoffs
Picks by Buffalo66 NHL Playoffs: CAPS Over 2.5 (+115 team total) LA/STL Over 5 (+138 game total) I cashed easily on the PIT/NYI over last night. Today I see more value in totals.  The Capitals have put up 3 goals in 3 of the last 4 games against the Rangers.  I really like Washington in this series, but the play is on the team total. I also like the scoring to continue in the Kings/Blues...
May 8th
1 tag
5/7/13 NHL Playoffs
Picks by Buffalo66 NHL: OVER 6 Pitt/NY Islanders (+103) Last night the Kings came back from a 2-0 deficit, but couldn’t pot an empty netter to give me the cover. Tonight I see value in the over bet.  Pittsburgh is 22-21 hitting over as a favorite, NY is 16-15 hitting over as a dog.  Over is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings on Long Island and 7-3-1 overall. Hopefully there will be lots of...
May 8th
1 tag
5/7/13 MLB
Picks by Buffalo66 MLB: NY Yankees +111 ML Last night I failed to cash as Oakland let the game get out of hand late. Hiroki Kuroda is coming off seven shutout innings in his last start, plus he’s been getting good run support.  Jorge De La Rosa has been much shakier, although he’s 1-0 at home this year. Kuroda doesn’t have great career numbers versus Colorado, but...
May 8th
1 tag
5/6/13 NHL Playoffs
Picks by Buffalo66 NHL: L.A. Kings -1.5 (+225 puck line) I took a day off to regroup after a slow start to the playoffs. It seems like Jon Quick has finally shaken the rust off from the shortened season.  Maybe he will peak at the right time. The Kings/Blues series has been a very tight defensive battle.  However, I expect some goal scoring to happen sooner rather than later.  There is too...
May 6th
1 tag
5/6/13 MLB Picks
Picks by Buffalo66 MLB: Oakland +108 ML I took a day off yesterday to recover from my Derby hangover. In a battle of struggling starters, Jerrod Parker of the A’s will face Ubaldo Jimenez of the Tribe.  Both are coming off wins, but can’t seem to put up quality starts. While Jimenez was sharper in his last outing, if both pitchers “regress towards the mean” then...
May 6th
1 tag
Kentucky Derby Picks by Buffalo66
By Buffalo66 The Derby is a great race to wager on because the size of the field is so big.  Add all of the square (casual) money being thrown into the pool and it can skew the odds to the sharp’s favor. It’s been years since I’ve felt so strongly about a single horse to win the Derby.  In fact, I tried to place a future bet this year.  And I hate futures. Revolutionary has...
May 4th
1 tag
5/4/13 NHL Playoffs
Picks by Buffalo66: NHL Playoffs: Bruins -0.5 (-116 in regulation time) I whiffed on the parlay last night after the Pens blew a 3-1 lead. Boston showed they are ready for another cup run after dominating the Leafs in game one.  Andrew Ference is suspended for today’s game, but rookie Dougie Hamilton is an adequate replacement.  Meanwhile, Toronto is lacking in depth on the blue line....
May 4th
1 tag
5/4/13 MLB
Picks by Buffalo66… MLB: Arizona -117 ML I cashed easily yesterday as King Felix dominated. Today has the markings of a trap play.  Patrick Corbin has pitched 5 straight quality starts and his team has won every game.  Clayton Richard has only made it to the 6th inning once.  The Padres are 1-4 when he starts. Funny thing is, Corbin is 0-2 lifetime versus SD while Richard is 6-0...
May 4th
2 tags
5/3/13 NHL Playoffs
Picks by Buffalo66. NHL: Parlay: Penguins + Blackhawks (-102) I cashed last night on the Caps. Just one puck line bet put me in the black. Tonight I’m going to parlay my way to value town.  I like both powerhouses (Pittsburgh & Chicago) to take care of business.  Instead of risking regulation time wagers, I’ll just play the money line. I’m taking Penguins ML with...
May 3rd
1 tag
5/3/13 MLB
Picks by Buffalo66. Check out his MLB Betting Primer. MLB: Mariners -129 ML I got another split last night.  Dan Haren finally put up a quality start. Tonight’s most favorable match-up is a no-brainer. King Felix Hernandez has been outstanding.  The Jays are countering with Ricky Romero, who was so horrible this spring he was demoted to class A Dunedin. While Felix has some poor...
May 3rd
1 tag
5/2/13 NHL Playoffs
The playoff picks by Buffalo66 NHL: Caps  -1.5 puck line (+234) Well I’ve started 0-2 in playoff betting.  I made a rookie mistake last night believing regular season hype.  Doesn’t translate to playoffs. Tonight it’s all about the Caps.  The Rangers are lacking toughness, with Staal, Clowe, Boyle and Dorsett all expected to be out.  This should allow the skill and speed of...
May 3rd
1 tag
5/2/13 MLB
Picks by Buffalo66… MLB: Atlanta - OVER 4 (+100 team total) St. Louis -105 ML I cashed last night on the Giants even though Lincecum struggled. Operation fade Dan Haren is in full effect.  I really like the Braves here, Medlen has been solid all year.  However, the money line is not very attractive. Jake Westbrook has been pitching lights out for the Cards.  If he can avoid...
May 3rd
1 tag
5/1/13 NHL Playoffs
Playoff selections by Buffalo66. NHL: Toronto +154 ML Last night I lost as Chicago couldn’t get it together in regulation time. Even though the favorites and the home teams were 3-0 last night, I’m picking an upset.  Most of the hockey sharps I know are very high on the Maple Leafs to win their series, mostly because Boston ended the season with a long string of lackluster...
May 1st
1 tag
5/1/13 MLB
Picks by Buffalo66. MLB: SF Giants +101 ML I lost yesterday as the Mets coughed up a lead in the 9th. Tim Lincecum has shown improvement for the Giants this season.  However Brandon McCarthy has not.  In fact, his three worst outings of the season were all at Chase Field.  He sports an ugly .360 BAA overall. I’m predicting a high scoring game but I expect a San Francisco sweep. ...
May 1st
1 tag
4/30/13 NHL Playoffs by Buffalo66
Picks by Buffalo66… NHL: Chicago -0.5 in regulation time (-148) As the playoffs kick off tonight, I’m looking for some good value. The Blackhawks are the undisputed favorites to win the cup.  They face a depleted Wild team missing Pomminville and Heatley. While the Chicago money line is unattractive, I’m still expecting a Hawks victory. So I’m taking Chicago -0.5 in...
May 1st
1 tag
4/30/13 MLB
Picks by Buffalo66… MLB: NY Mets -116 ML I was dead wrong yesterday as Ubaldo Jimenez went back in time to shut down KC.   Jeremy Hefner has been a hard luck loser for the Mets as they have provided little run support and a lousy bullpen.  But he has put up quality starts. Tonight he gets a Marlins squad without it’s only true slugger (Giancarlo Stanton).  Also David Wright...
May 1st
April 2013
30 posts
1 tag
4/29/13 MLB
Picks bu Buffalo66… MLB: Kansas City -1.5 (+135 RL) My short losing streak ended with an M’s victory yesterday. Ubaldo Jimenez has been an unmitigated disaster since coming to the American League.  Each year has gotten progressively worse.  I would look to fade him more often than not. Wade Davis is back in a starting role with KC.  He has been consistent so far.  Although the...
Apr 29th
1 tag
4/28/13 MLB
Picks by Buff 66… MLB: Seattle -109 ML I’m on my first losing streak of the season as the Yanks failed to cover. Hisashi Iwakuma has completely owned the Angels.  Combine that with his hot start to this season and it’s easy to like the M’s today.  Seattle bats also hit better at home and in day games. I’m taking the Mariners ML (-109).
Apr 28th
1 tag
4/27/13 MLB
Picks by Buffalo66… MLB: NYY -1.5 (+140 RL) I got stung again with no run support for Lincecum. Big boy CC Sabathia was a little shaky against the Rays but I like him today at home.  He’s facing J.A. Happ, who sported a 6.75 ERA versus the Bombers last season. Although Cervelli & Youkilis are both out, I expect the Yanks bats to break out today with a touch of nice weather...
Apr 27th
1 tag
4/26/13 MLB
MLB: SF Giants -104 ML I got stuck with a split as Colorado left 10 on base last night. Tonight it’s just simple handicapping.  Tim Lincecum has not been outstanding, but the Giants have won all of his starts this season.  He’s also been slightly better on the road. Andrew Cashner starts for the Padres, who took the loss versus SF last meeting. I’m taking the Giants...
Apr 27th
1 tag
4/25/13 MLB
MLB: Rangers -105 ML Rockies +122 ML I had my first 0-2 night of the season.  Pettitte and Madbum were outstanding, but got no run support. Today,  I’m focusing on hot bats.  Texas destroyed Angels pitching last night and they get a juicy match-up against the Twins tonight.  Vance Worley is sporting an ugly 1.89 WHIP. The Rockies had their share of troubles against the...
Apr 25th
1 tag
4/24/13 MLB
MLB: Yankees (+111) ML Giants -1.5  (+157) RL Arizona’s bullpen coughed it up again but we cashed in extra innings. I’m not sure what Andy Pettitte is taking these days.  (Hopefully nothing out of A-Rod’s locker.) Whatever it is, he’s pitching like his old self and looks to continue his success against the Rays.  I’m going to ride old man river until he shows...
Apr 24th
1 tag
4/23/13 MLB
MLB: Arizona +136 I got another split last night as CC Sabathia struggled. The Giants are a team that finds a way to win.  Except when Matt Cain is on the mound.  They are 0-4 when he starts this year.  Cain has done a lot of the damage to himself, sporting a 7.15 ERA. His opponent, Patrick Corbin, has pitched very well for Arizona.  The D’backs also hit righties very well, which...
Apr 23rd
1 tag
4/22/13 MLB Picks
MLB: St. Louis Cardinals -114 ML NY Yankees +105 ML My winning streak came to an end with the A’s getting swept on Sunday. Once again I’m picking on Dan Haren.  He hasn’t lasted more than 5 innings in any start and his ERA is 8.10.  Tonight he faces a very healthy St. Louis offense. In a match-up of aces, CC Sabathia is taking on Matt Moore.  While CC...
Apr 23rd
1 note
1 tag
4/21/13 Buffalo's MLB Picks
MLB: A’s -110 I cashed comfortably on the Brewers last night thanks to some errors by the Cubs. There is a great match-up today for Oakland.  Tommy Milone has pitched well for the A’s with tons of run support.  Roberto Hernandez (formerly known as Fausto Carmona) is not only 0-3 but has bad career numbers versus Oaktown. The Tampa Bay bats have also struggled versus lefties,...
Apr 21st
1 tag
4/20/13 Buffalo's MLB Picks
Just a reminder, Buffalo66 is providing MLB selections for us this summer! * * * MLB: Brewers -109 ML I managed to hit both of my picks yesterday for a 2-0 night. Today, I’m picking on the Cubbies.  Edwin Jackson hasn’t shown much of anything this year.  In fact, his ERA has risen with each outing.  The Brew Crew’s bats have been hot this week and I expect a high...
Apr 20th
2 tags
4/20/13 NBA Playoffs
I posted a playoffs preview on Ocelot’s blog titled Heat-Thunder Finals Reprise. I have one series bet… Memphis +155… to beat the Clippers in the first round. I made a futures bet on… OKC +400 and +550… to win the NBA Championship. No bets on games today, but I’m leaning Memphis today against the Clippers.
Apr 20th
1 tag
4/19/13 Buffalo's MLB Picks
Just a reminder, baseball plays are provided by Buffalo66. MLB: NY Yankees +103 ML Houston Astros +109 ML I whiffed last night as R.A. Dickey was unhittable until he hurt his back in the 6th inning. The Yankees are playing in Toronto, with Andy Pettitte going for the Bombers.  The Jays struggle against lefties in general.  It’s unlikely Bautista will play with Lind and...
Apr 19th
1 tag
4/18/13 Buffalo's MLB Picks
Just a reminder, our pal Buffalo66 is providing MLB picks for us over the summer. Enjoy! — The Editor * * * MLB: Chi. White Sox -110 ML Well, I managed a split last night as the Dodgers continue to struggle. The Blue Jays made a huge splash this off-season by acquiring some star pitching, including Cy Young award winner R.A. Dickey.  So far, he really hasn’t delivered the...
Apr 18th